Capital Power
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Capital Power (CPX) investor relations material

Capital Power Q2 2026 earnings summary

Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.
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Q2 2026 earnings summary29 Jul, 2026

Executive summary

  • Secured a 250 MW, 10+ year energy supply agreement with Meta, enhancing contracted cash flow and supporting a new Alberta data centre expected in service in late 2028, with no capital investment required.

  • Strong Q2 results driven by demand capture, commercial optimization, disciplined capital allocation, and U.S. acquisitions.

  • Embedded growth potential highlighted by portfolio diversification, ongoing optimization, and major U.S. and Canadian project advancements.

  • Continued focus on risk-adjusted returns, cash flow growth, and a growing dividend, with a 2% increase marking 13 consecutive years of growth.

  • Net loss for Q2 was $43 million, a significant improvement from a $131 million loss in Q2 2025.

Financial highlights

  • Q2 adjusted EBITDA was $351 million, up $29 million year-over-year, mainly from the expanded PJM portfolio and U.S. acquisitions.

  • AFFO reached $328 million in Q2, up $93 million, aided by Clean Tech ITC government grants and acquisitions.

  • Q2 revenues and other income rose to $740 million from $441 million in Q2 2025, with YTD at $1,945 million, up $516 million.

  • Net cash flows from operating activities were $214 million in Q2, up $71 million year-over-year.

  • Portfolio generated 10.1 TWh in Q2, up 12% year-over-year, with 60% from the U.S. fleet.

Outlook and guidance

  • 2026 guidance reaffirmed: adjusted EBITDA of $1,565–$1,765 million, AFFO of $890–$1,010 million, sustaining capital of $290–$330 million.

  • Embedded annual adjusted EBITDA upside estimate increased to $1.25 billion, with $400–$550 million from contracted upside and $375–$700 million from merchant upside.

  • 2030 targets include 8–10% AFFO/share CAGR, 13–15% annual TSR, and 3.5 GW additional U.S. capacity.

  • Ongoing focus on portfolio optimization, data centre-driven growth, and renewables expansion.

Impact of Meta ESA on Alberta data center growth
Role of Clean Technology ITCs in 2026 AFFO growth
PJM capacity auction results and uprate timing
Drivers for the CAD 250M EBITDA upside increase
Impact of Meta ESA on Genesee asset encumbrance
Role of speed to power in PJM asset valuation
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