Judo Capital (JDO) Status update summary
Event summary combining transcript, slides, and related documents.
Status update summary
25 Jun, 2026Asset quality and provisioning update
Asset quality issues in three exposures across different sectors led to a specific provision increase of approximately AUD 20 million, raising FY 2026 cost of risk to AUD 116–122 million and 90+ days past due/impaired loans to about 3% of gross loans and advances.
The exposures at default for these three loans total AUD 70–80 million, with security including property, working capital assets, and directors' guarantees.
Collective provision coverage is expected to remain around 94 basis points of GLA or 1.9% of standardized credit risk-weighted assets, maintaining prudent macroeconomic overlays.
These issues are not seen as systemic, and overall portfolio quality and origination practices remain robust.
Recent credit outcomes are attributed to a small number of customers with borrower-specific issues emerging after Q3 reviews.
Trading and financial performance
Lending momentum remains strong, with GLA above AUD 14.4 billion and expected to finish FY 2026 at AUD 14.6–14.7 billion, at the top end of guidance.
Net interest income is outperforming, with NIM for H2 2026 expected at 3.2% or higher, above previous guidance, and lending margins stable at 4.2%.
Blended deposit costs were 62 basis points over swap in April/May, with new TD costs at 75–76 basis points over swap in Q4.
Cost-to-income ratio is expected to improve in H2, in line with guidance and below 1H26 (48.5%).
Profit and capital guidance
FY 2026 profit before tax is expected at AUD 163–169 million, about 30% growth on FY 2025.
FY 2027 profit before tax is guided at AUD 210–220 million, also representing around 30% year-on-year growth.
CET1 ratio is expected to finish FY 2026 at around 12.4%, with a new management operating target range of 11–12%.
Recent term securitization provides flexibility for capital management initiatives.
Through-the-cycle cost of risk is expected to remain at 50bps of average GLA.
Latest events from Judo Capital
- Achieved strong growth, robust governance, and passed all AGM resolutions with high shareholder support.JDO
AGM 2024 - FY26 and FY27 PBT expected to grow 30% year-over-year, with strong lending and capital metrics.JDO
Q3 2026 TU - Profit before tax up 53% year-over-year, with upgraded guidance and strong loan growth.JDO
H1 2026 - Strong growth, tech upgrades, and all resolutions passed; dividends remain a future goal.JDO
AGM 2025 - Profit up 24% with strong loan growth, margin gains, and positive FY26 outlook.JDO
H2 2025 - Loan book up 20% to $10.7bn, NIM at 2.94%, and 15% profit growth targeted for FY25.JDO
H2 2024 - Targets 15% PBT growth, sector-leading returns, and scalable SME-focused expansion.JDO
Investor Day 2025 - Loan growth guidance lowered amid volatility, but NIM and profit targets reaffirmed.JDO
Q3 2025 TU - Net profit up 70%, strong loan growth, and FY25 guidance reconfirmed for 15% PBT growth.JDO
H1 2025