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RXO (RXO) investor relations material

RXO Stifel Financial Corp. Transportation & Logistics Conference 2026 summary

Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.
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Stifel Financial Corp. Transportation & Logistics Conference 2026 summary10 Feb, 2026

Market cycle and supply-demand dynamics

  • Regulatory changes, including non-domiciled CDL and English Language Proficiency, are reducing trucking supply, with estimates of a 20%-25% reduction in certain segments.

  • Tender rejections have risen to low double digits, indicating tightening supply despite soft demand.

  • Any improvement in demand could quickly tighten the market further, given the current fragile supply-demand balance.

  • Weather events have temporarily increased tender rejections, but structural supply reductions are the main driver.

  • Gross margins are compressed in the short term for buyers of transportation capacity.

Demand trends and end markets

  • Industrial and manufacturing verticals showed improvement in Q4, partly due to special projects.

  • ISM new orders component hit its highest level since 2022, signaling potential demand recovery.

  • Automotive volumes, previously a headwind, are expected to stabilize and no longer drag on gross profit in 2026.

  • Other verticals are tracking in line with overall truckload volume, which was down low double digits year-over-year.

  • Automotive expedite business thrives during periods of disruption or production changes, offering higher profitability.

Strategic initiatives and acquisitions

  • The Coyote acquisition focused on people, customers, and technology, with high retention and customer continuity.

  • Technology integration post-acquisition is complete, with positive feedback and ongoing system enhancements.

  • Initial profitability post-acquisition was below expectations, but volume stabilization and a strong pipeline have improved outlook.

  • Future M&A will be considered if it adds scale or new services, but the bar for deals remains high.

  • Volume declines post-acquisition were partly due to intentional pricing decisions; late-stage pipeline is up over 50% year-over-year.

How will tender rejections react to demand recovery?
Assess Coyote's volume recovery post-pricing changes
Quantify AI's impact on long-term EBITDA margins
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Barclays 43rd Annual Industrial Select Conference18 Feb, 2026
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Barclays 43rd Annual Industrial Select Conference18 Feb, 2026

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Frequently asked questions

RXO Inc. is a logistics company that provides asset-light transportation services, specializing in freight brokerage. The company connects shippers and carriers through its digital platform, offering solutions for truckload freight transportation, including managed transportation, last-mile delivery, and expedited shipping services. RXO leverages advanced technology, data analytics, and a network of independent carriers to optimize supply chain efficiency and meet the logistics needs of businesses across various industries, including retail, manufacturing, and e-commerce. The company is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina, and its shares are listed on the NYSE.

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