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Waste Connections (WCN) investor relations material
Waste Connections Q4 2025 earnings summary
Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.Executive summary
Achieved industry-leading adjusted EBITDA margin of 33% for 2025, up 50–100 basis points year-over-year, driven by price-led organic growth and operational improvements.
Returned over $830 million to shareholders via share repurchases and dividends, with a record $839.3 million in 2025, while maintaining flexibility for future growth.
Closed 19 acquisitions in 2025, adding $330 million in annualized revenue, and expect $125 million rollover revenue in 2026 from deals already completed.
Employee turnover and safety incident rates reached multiyear lows, with voluntary turnover at 10% and safety incidents down 20% year-over-year in January.
Continued investment in sustainability, ESG, and AI-driven initiatives to enhance efficiency, customer service, and asset utilization.
Financial highlights
Full year 2025 revenue was $9.467 billion, with Q4 revenue at $2.373 billion; adjusted EBITDA for the year was $3.125 billion (33.0% margin), up 50 basis points year-over-year.
Adjusted free cash flow for 2025 was $1.26 billion, with a 50% conversion rate from adjusted EBITDA and 13.3% of revenue.
Capital expenditures totaled $1.194 billion in 2025, including $100 million for RNG projects.
Solid waste core pricing rose 6.5% in 2025, exceeding expectations, while reported volume declined 2.7% in Q4.
10-year total shareholder return of 405%, outperforming major indices.
Outlook and guidance
2026 revenue expected between $9.9 billion and $9.95 billion, with organic growth of 3.5%-4% in solid waste and core pricing of 5%-5.5%.
Adjusted EBITDA projected at $3.3-$3.325 billion, with margin of 33.3%-33.4%, up 30-40 basis points year-over-year.
Adjusted free cash flow expected to increase double digits to $1.4-$1.45 billion; CapEx estimated at $1.25 billion, including $100 million for RNG and recycling.
Guidance excludes impact from future acquisitions and assumes no material macroeconomic improvement.
Preliminary 2026 framework targets mid-single digit revenue growth and further margin expansion.
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